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    基于自适应时间间隔权重网络的烟气制酸过程变量预测

    Adaptive Time-Interval Weighted Network for Key Variable Prediction in Flue Gas Acid Production Process

    • 摘要: 在工业生产过程中,数据采样时间间隔的不一致性是关键变量预测的主要难点,大多数传统模型无法处理采样间隔不规则的数据序列。针对数据采样间隔不一致导致传统模型无法直接建模的问题,本文提出了一种基于自适应时间间隔网络(Adaptive Interval-Weighted Network,AIWN)的预测方法。AIWN引入动态权重生成器,将数据的时间间隔转变为权重值,自适应的调整历史信息对预测准确度的影响。此外,AIWN结合了跳跃链接(Skip Connection)机制,对前一时刻的信息进行轻量变换处理,保留了历史信息,同时基于时间间隔生成的权重值对历史信息和变化后信息进行凸组合,实现自适应输入。结果表明,通过在烟气制酸过程中的验证表明AIWN具有良好的关键变量预测性能,其R2达到了0.9以上。研究结论为工业过程中不规则采样的过程变量预测提供了参考,能够有效辅助操作人员及时掌握过程变量的变化情况。

       

      Abstract: In industrial production processes, the inconsistency of data sampling intervals is a major challenge for key variable prediction, and most traditional models are unable to handle data sequences with irregular sampling intervals. To address the problem that conventional models cannot directly model data with inconsistent sampling intervals, this study proposed a prediction method based on an Adaptive Interval-Weighted Network (AIWN). The AIWN introduced a dynamic weight generator that transformed time intervals into weight values, thereby adaptively adjusting the influence of historical information on prediction accuracy. In addition, the AIWN incorporated a skip connection mechanism to perform a lightweight transformation on information from the previous time step, preserving historical information while conducting a convex combination of the original historical information and the transformed information based on the time-interval-derived weights, thereby achieving adaptive input construction.The results demonstrated that, through validation in the flue gas acid production process, the AIWN exhibited strong predictive performance for key variables, achieving an R2; value above 0.9. The research conclusions provide a reference for process variable prediction under irregular sampling conditions in industrial processes and effectively assist operators in monitoring changes in process variables in a timely manner.

       

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